Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.064291 0.074768 0.086245 0.099728 0.115110 0.132087 0.152219
2025-01-26 0.050313 0.064617 0.081711 0.103547 0.130592 0.162875 0.204204
2025-02-02 0.040813 0.057221 0.078383 0.107444 0.146044 0.195247 0.262357
2025-02-09 0.031431 0.047805 0.070458 0.103679 0.150658 0.214129 0.305643
2025-02-16 0.025394 0.041584 0.065443 0.102540 0.157975 0.236757 0.355912
2025-02-23 0.020440 0.035879 0.060013 0.099621 0.161867 0.254475 0.400685
2025-03-02 0.016791 0.031454 0.055666 0.097428 0.166142 0.272693 0.447520
2025-03-09 0.014490 0.028806 0.053650 0.098460 0.175275 0.298830 0.508532
2025-03-16 0.012011 0.025341 0.049647 0.095466 0.177220 0.313481 0.552428
2025-03-23 0.011004 0.024436 0.049987 0.099990 0.192276 0.350737 0.636269
2025-03-30 0.009680 0.022645 0.048385 0.100691 0.200532 0.377098 0.703901
2025-04-06 0.008200 0.020239 0.045209 0.097926 0.202027 0.391652 0.752137
2025-04-13 0.007045 0.018348 0.042834 0.096520 0.206126 0.411625 0.812564
2025-04-20 0.006611 0.018027 0.043695 0.101798 0.223799 0.458127 0.925309
2025-04-27 0.006164 0.017591 0.044238 0.106470 0.240751 0.504755 1.042181
2025-05-04 0.005227 0.015731 0.041283 0.103149 0.240873 0.518955 1.098589
2025-05-11 0.004576 0.014473 0.039521 0.102223 0.245885 0.543114 1.176173
2025-05-18 0.003916 0.013044 0.037101 0.099416 0.246431 0.558198 1.236824
2025-05-25 0.003385 0.011858 0.035089 0.097278 0.248169 0.575780 1.303783
2025-06-01 0.003064 0.011229 0.034419 0.098336 0.257300 0.609646 1.406882
2025-06-08 0.002627 0.010127 0.032282 0.095358 0.256574 0.622119 1.465755
2025-06-15 0.002507 0.010044 0.032980 0.099885 0.274409 0.676871 1.619432
2025-06-22 0.002272 0.009510 0.032289 0.100588 0.282878 0.711274 1.731140